Thursday, January 8, 2015

#4 So, what is the problem of with the way money is created now?

  • It creates an enormous amount of debt both at the national and at the individual level.
  • It creates budget deficit battles in Congress. In order to approve a particular budget with the usual deficit, many questionable pieces of legislation are introduced into the omnibus bill.
  • Most of the money created goes into the financial economy (mortgages, Wall Street hedge funds, credit cards, etc.) very little gets into the productive economy where actual jobs are created. In England, for example, people who study these things claim that only about 10% of the money created by banks gets into the productive economy.
  • Lack of sufficient, good paying jobs leads to a decline in the Labor Force Participation rate which has gone from 66% in 2004  to 62.8% in 2014. 


There are several organizations which have proposed solutions to these problems. The two most prominent ones can be found at:


http://monetaryreform-taskforce.net



I will focus on the second one since I feel it will be easier to implement.

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A Hybrid Money System to Set Aside the Sequestration Budget Cuts,
 Pay down the National Debt and “End this Depression Now!”
http://monetaryreform-taskforce.net

SUMMARY OF “GREEN MONEY” MONETARY REFORM PROPOSAL

Government planners in Washington DC are now (Jan 1, 2013) faced with a three pronged dilemma for which we propose an elementary solution in this paper. 

  • The first prong is the need to reduce the federal budget deficit expressed in the Budget Control Act of 2011 (Debt Ceiling Deal).  
  • The second prong is the need to stop the increase and start the decrease of the national debt.  Both of these objectives would seem to dictate budget cuts and tax increases. 
  • But there is a third prong as well, the need to decrease the unemployment rate.  (Editor’s note: increase the Labor Force Participation rate)


This would entail a substantial “surge” in government spending that would seem to imply greater borrowing as well.  And if we borrow more, the deficit and national debt would go up, not down.  So it appears to be impossible, under the current institutional arrangements, to make progress on all three fronts simultaneously.

This paper is devoted to a proposal for emergency monetary reform action that will avert this disaster, and in fact make all three policy objectives feasible at the same time.  The sequestration cuts can be canceled due to a feasible deficit reduction plan, the upward trend of the national debt can be reversed, and the un-employment rate can be brought down, all at the same time, by the same action.  This single game changing solution is simply for Congress to reassert its constitutional power to create money that is spent into circulation without debt and without interest obligation.

The monetary reform controversy has been couched in terms of choosing between two alternative money creation systems: 

(1)  a debt-based money system in which all money is created by banks through bond acquisitions by the central bank and loans by commercial banks utilizing the fractional reserve system (such as the Federal Reserve System in the US); and

(2)  a debt-free money system in which all money is created by the government, in which banks are subject to a 100% reserve requirement for checking accounts and fractional reserve banking is forbidden.   We argue here that there is in fact a third alternative,

(3)  We argue here that there is in fact a third alternative, a hybrid money system in which part of the money supply is created by the government debt-free and part is created by the banking system through debt.   This third option can be seen as a transition stage towards a completely debt-free money system (option 2), or as a permanent solution, depending on perspective.

The completely debt-free system is based on the Chicago Plan of the 1930s, and has been codified in the American Monetary Act proposed by the American Monetary Institute and introduced in Congress as HR 2990 in Sept 2011 by Rep. Dennis Kucinich.  There is mounting computational evidence (see Yamaguchi ref[14,15] and Kumhof ref[16])  that the system dynamics for debt-free monetary systems are vastly superior to  those for debt-based money systems and therefore moves towards something like the HR 2990 proposal are highly desirable from a systems performance point of view.  It is intuitively obvious from the public interest perspective that this should be the case because debt-based money entails debt and an interest obligation, whereas debt-free money is free of debt and has no interest obligation. 

However, since the Federal Reserve System is so entrenched now after 99 years of existence in the American and International financial worlds, and since HR 2990 provides for a dismantling of the Fed and the end of fractional reserve banking, the prospects for Congressional approval of HR 2990 are, in my opinion, extremely dim.  As California Senator Diane Feinstein once said about another issue, it is likely to be perceived in Congress as “simply too much, too fast, too soon.” 

Hence the approach taken in this White Paper is therefore to focus on the most urgent and least controversial part of the HR2990 reform proposal (issuance of debt-free government money), and frame monetary reform as a multi-stage transformational process that will require a sequence of bills over a period of years that introduce change in a more gradual way, during which time a hybrid money system will obtain as bank and government money circulates side by side. 

(Implementation details to follow on the next blog post)

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