Saturday, January 10, 2015

#6 How to slay the escalating DEFICIT MONSTER

(Remember the terminology)

Bank issued money
Government issued money (US Money)
Federal Reserve Notes
(This is the paper money in your pocket right now)
US Notes
Federal Reserve Bank Credits
US Bank Deposits

Deficit Reduction and cancellation of sequestration budget cuts

1.   Starting on the first day of the quarter beginning after passage of this act, (i.e. either Janm1, Apr 1, July 1, or Oct 1), and continuing for a period of 10 years, the quarterly budget deficits will be partially financed by US Money, to be issued INSTEAD OF US Treasury Bonds (that is, by bo, at the rate of $100 billion per quarter (roughly $1.54 billion per workday).  Hence annual deficits will be reduced by $400 billion per year or $4 trillion in ten years’ time.
2.   New US Money issues (backed by past or future economic output) will be itemized in the federal budget as income to be totaled with tax receipts, and included in budget legislation to be submitted and approved by Congress.

3.   Estimated deficit (i.e. borrowing) reduction during the ten years will be $400 billion per year.  Hence the deficit reduction requirements of the Budget Control Act of 2011 will be met in about four years instead of ten years.  Hence the sequestration budget cuts scheduled to begin on Jan 1, 2013 are hereby canceled.

GREEN MONEY CAN AVERT THE FISCAL CLIFF (by reducing the deficit)

In the example developed below, issuance of government money is done in a gradual way by “ramping up” the rate of green money injection on a quarterly basis over a period of a year or two so as to enable a smooth transition to be made.  Since government money issued specifically to partially fund the deficit would count as deficit reduction dollar for dollar, the deficit reduction achieved would be equal to the amount of government money issued.

Under the plan given in the proposed Greenback Renewal Act, the deficit reduction during the first year (given current conditions) would be about $652.5 Billion and deficit reduction during the second year would be about $1.3 Trillion for a total of $1.9525 Trillion in the first two years alone.  By the end of the first quarter of the third year, the $2.3 Trillion in budget reductions required by the Budget Control Act of 2011 ($2.3 Trillion) would have been accomplished, thus preventing the sequestration budget cuts that will be so harmful otherwise.  Since the time frame for the $2.3 Trillion deficit reduction is 10 years (not three) the rate of ramping up of the green money injection could be cut in half or even to a third of those shown in the example and still satisfy the requirements for avoiding the sequestration budget cuts.

When population and hence the work force continues to increase, and technology advances lead to productivity increases as well, it follows that real output capacity of the economy is going to keep increasing for the foreseeable future.  This being the case, as we have seen through analysis of Irving Fisher’s money exchange equation (see full document at: http://monetaryreform-taskforce.net for specific math) , the money supply is going to have to continue to increase at about the same rate in order to maintain stable prices.  

When unemployment is high, it is essential that some of the newly created money enter the economy through funding of the federal deficit, so that the money is directed at those individuals who need it the most, and at those activities that will provide the greatest stimulus towards future growth of the economy, e.g. infrastructure projects and breakthrough technologies. 

The federal government has the power to create money for the economy, and the need to do so to support growth and pay down the debt is greater now than at any time since the Great Depression in the ‘30s.  Our next President should be one who understands that difference, and who, unlike FDR, will stand behind ” green money”  funding of a significant part of the deficit as the most effective way to bring the US economy back to health.


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